Hi all,
I attach a mail that I received from Johannes Pfeifer, which raises 3
problems and makes 2 suggestions.
I pushed a fix for problem #2 (varlist_indices.m) and I can’t reproduce
problem #3 (related to USE_DLL) even under Windows.
Concerning problem #1 (empirical autocorrelations), Johannes is right in
the sense that - with the current code - one can get an autocorrelation
that is not within [-1,1], because the covariance on the numerator does
not span the same sample than the variances on the denominator; the fix
that he suggests would fix this. On the other hand, estimators of the
autocorrelation coefficients are known to be biased in finite samples
(and there is no easy way of fixing this), so applying Johannes’ change
would just consist in moving from a biased estimator to another biased
estimator (and I don’t know how the bias is changed). These estimators
are only asymptotically consistent, and getting a weird value is the
indication that the sample is too small and that more simulations should
be done.
What is your opinion about this issue, and about the two suggestions
(options for no IRF files, and NaN/Inf treatment in estimation) ?
Best,
--
Sébastien Villemot
CEPREMAP - Paris School of Economics
Homepage: http://www.dynare.org/sebastien
Phone: +33 1 40 77 49 90
PGP Key: 0xA6C029B9D06B2913D71C105EBE37E801FB6EFF8B (http://pgp.mit.edu/)
#75: Fix command "calib" or remove it
--------------------------+-------------------------------------------------
Reporter: sebastien | Owner:
Type: bug | Status: new
Priority: minor | Milestone: 4.2
Component: Core M-files | Version:
Keywords: |
--------------------------+-------------------------------------------------
The "calib" command (and its associated command "calib_var") are
recognized by the preprocessor, but are probably not working, and are not
documented in the reference manual.
This should be fixed, or the commands be removed.
--
Ticket URL: <https://www.dynare.org/trac/ticket/75>
Dynare <http://www.dynare.org>
The Dynare project
#95: the "simul" option of "stoch_simul" simulates on more periods than required
--------------------------+-------------------------------------------------
Reporter: sebastien | Owner:
Type: bug | Status: new
Priority: trivial | Milestone:
Component: Core M-files | Version: 4.1.0
Keywords: |
--------------------------+-------------------------------------------------
The point is that the oo_.exo_simul vector has length
options_.periods+M_.maximum_lag+M_.maximum_lead (see make_ex_.m).
This makes sense in a deterministic context, but in a stochastic context
there it should only be of length options_.periods.
This makes the oo_.endo_simul of length
2*M_.maximum_lag+options_.periods+M_.maximum_lead (because it adds initial
conditions), while it should be of length M_.maximum_lag+options_.periods.
This is not a big issue since one can just truncate the extra periods, but
this confuses some users.
--
Ticket URL: <https://www.dynare.org/trac/ticket/95>
Dynare <http://www.dynare.org>
The Dynare project